The next is a quite simple strategy, however I’m placing it out right here to reveal simply how essential it’s to make use of a methodical strategy, a system if you’ll, for betting horses and handicapping horse races. Many individuals spend hours poring over a racing program or enjoying with difficult software program to search out the winner of the race or races they intend to play. The problem of discovering a winner on this mental sport of handicapping will be enjoyable and entertaining, however let me allow you to in on a bit of secret. Whereas it is very important have enjoyable whereas enjoying the races, it’s simply as essential to make a revenue or not less than break even so you may afford to maintain on enjoying the races.
So with the revenue angle in thoughts, and it ought to at all times be someplace in your thoughts, even when neatly tucked away within the again when you’re busy having enjoyable, let’s take a look at a barely completely different manner of discovering the winner. Right here is how you discover the true winner of the race. Quickly after the race is over, take a look at the quick line of people who find themselves cashing tickets on the race. The winner is someplace within the line. Discover that I did not say all of the individuals who had been cashing tickets had been winners? Wish to know why? If you’re knowledgeable handicapper or gambler, you already know why, do not you?
The explanation all of the individuals cashing tickets aren’t winners is as a result of a few of them spent an excessive amount of for his or her bets or did not handle their cash properly. Now please learn this fastidiously, and take into consideration what I’m writing. The winner is the one who makes a revenue off his or her wager by discovering worthwhile bets. {Most professional} handicappers do not search for winners, they search for good bets, and there’s a world of distinction. Whereas many individuals are good at choosing winners, the professionals are good at choosing winners that pay sufficient in order that in the long term, they’re worthwhile bets. In different phrases, skilled handicappers are good at betting horses and handicapping horse races.
The aim of the next train, malaysian horse racing system, is to get you considering by way of the chances and deserves of every horse within the race. Please strive it on paper a couple of instances and have enjoyable with it. This isn’t meant to be a giant cash maker, however only a method to begin the method of “cash handicapping.” I counsel you to apply it to races with older horses with loads of begins, maiden races must be averted for this train.
Earlier than we go any farther, let’s subtract 20%, the typical monitor takeout, or vig, from 100 so we find yourself with 80.
Let’s begin with the dimensions of the sphere. Divide 80 by the dimensions of the sphere to find out what every issue shall be value. As an example, if there are 8 horses within the race, 80 divided by 8 equals 10. Now convert the reply to percentages, so 10 is 10%. Every issue is now value 10%. We’ll name it a “unit.”
Now let’s checklist the elements…
1. Class
Decide the category horse within the race by one of many two following strategies,
a. if the horse has had not less than 5 races for the yr, then divide the horse’s whole winnings for the yr by the variety of races it has run.
b. if the horse hasn’t had 5 races for the present yr, then divide its whole earnings by whole variety of begins.
The horse with the very best common winnings per begin is the category horse.
2. Consistency
Decide consistency by diving the whole variety of begins by the variety of wins.
3. Jockey
Decide the very best jockey by his or her successful proportion
4. Coach
Decide the very best coach by his or her successful proportion
5. Pace
If pace rankings can be found, the very best pace score throughout the final 60 days is the very best or, if pace rankings aren’t obtainable, the quickest time on the distance and floor (6f on grime, and so on.)
6. final pace
Highest pace score or quickest time in final race.
Now undergo your checklist of runners and after figuring out the above elements for every runner, assign percentages as follows…
1. every issue is value one unit so the horse with the very best class earns 10%. The identical is true for every of the opposite elements. Subsequently, it’s attainable for a horse who has all of the above elements to earn 80%, however very uncommon that any horse would qualify for all elements.
Now let’s speak about cash and truthful bets. After getting assigned a proportion to every horse, you will notice that some have the next proportion than others. It’s time to convert these percentages into truthful bets or odds.
Odds are decided by changing the proportion right into a fraction after which evaluating it to the desk under. A horse with 50% as an illustration (what lots of people would think about a certain factor) could be 1/2. Meaning the horse could be anticipated to win half the time. So trying on the desk we see {that a} wager that may pay greater than $4.00 (for each $2 wager on the horse) could be a worthwhile wager.
Percentages truthful odds
80% 2-5
70% 3-5
60% 4-5
50% 1-1
40% 8-5
30% 2-1
20% 4-1
10% 9-1
A horse that had 30% could be roughly 1/3.33 (spherical to the closest complete quantity so 3.33 turns into 3) which means it might win a few third of the time. Trying on the desk we see a horse that may win a 3rd of the time (30%) is value a wager if it pays greater than $6 for each $2 wager on it.
The following step is to observe the chances and when there are two minutes or much less left on the clock, place a wager on a horse provided that it reveals it’s going to present a revenue if it wins.
Now here’s a tip for betting on horses. Most mavens will not take a brief value on a horse irrespective of how good it appears. I personally suggest you by no means place a wager on any horse that’s going off at lower than 2-1. Lengthy expertise has proven me that it simply is not worthwhile regardless of what figures on paper present. As everyone knows, simply because one thing appears good on paper, it would not essentially imply it’s going to work in actual life.
Do that little system out for enjoyable after which use the identical strategy with a extra correct system for handicapping horse races and you’ll quickly be a real winner.